Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 2.290174 2.639427 3.029335 3.497848 4.046791 4.671102 5.437072
2025-04-06 1.767474 2.229696 2.799106 3.556420 4.543629 5.795554 7.517213
2025-04-13 1.439873 1.926702 2.566486 3.477022 4.752836 6.496479 9.093546
2025-04-20 1.288871 1.810775 2.534531 3.624928 5.249450 7.617192 11.397745
2025-04-27 1.132196 1.656266 2.416316 3.617569 5.502948 8.406685 13.331207
2025-05-04 1.040459 1.578973 2.392533 3.736246 5.949556 9.538734 15.982571
2025-05-11 0.942618 1.477305 2.314662 3.752776 6.226041 10.427466 18.371685
2025-05-18 0.860173 1.388261 2.242950 3.764608 6.488393 11.320555 20.914681
2025-05-25 0.768161 1.272079 2.111587 3.654551 6.516603 11.795305 22.748708
2025-06-01 0.716360 1.217136 2.075904 3.705620 6.839493 12.852889 25.908680
2025-06-08 0.677016 1.178946 2.063981 3.796358 7.246449 14.128089 29.751353
2025-06-15 0.628028 1.118059 2.004021 3.787465 7.454272 15.032034 32.958760
2025-06-22 0.565618 1.032356 1.900454 3.704498 7.551353 15.832121 36.380047
2025-06-29 0.525350 0.984980 1.866473 3.762987 7.971716 17.448229 42.246288
2025-07-06 0.475019 0.911619 1.771573 3.678734 8.062447 18.334336 46.521233
2025-07-13 0.454755 0.895165 1.788268 3.836061 8.729373 20.715249 55.406373
2025-07-20 0.421388 0.847857 1.734774 3.828232 9.003637 22.185771 62.191308
2025-07-27 0.402804 0.829154 1.739461 3.954503 9.630393 24.699813 72.814006
2025-08-03 0.377433 0.792882 1.701035 3.972093 9.983176 26.556324 81.993196
2025-08-10 0.354196 0.758661 1.662959 3.984683 10.325563 28.462054 91.963124
2025-08-17 0.324567 0.706893 1.578440 3.867578 10.292045 29.266694 98.426701
2025-08-24 0.308592 0.684721 1.560946 3.921915 10.754637 31.682826 111.547478
2025-08-31 0.296338 0.669906 1.559336 4.018470 11.360443 34.698808 128.067471